Indian Private Power Player |
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1 | Tata Power: # 1 Indian Private Power | 24 | Average spot Rate $ 42 PMT and Long term |
Player. June , 2005. | contract of $ 23 PMT Reduction in | ||
2 | KEY MESSAGES. Huge opportunity in an | Manpower: Reduced 300 employees. Average | |
evolving sector Positioned to be a front | yearly savings of Rs. 12 Crs. One time | ||
runner Tata heritage, established skills | payment Rs. 24 Crs. Sale of Non Core | ||
in generation, transmission and | Assets: Sold shares of Tata Telecom, Tata | ||
distribution Strategy under uncertainty | Honeywell, Haldia, Tata Petrodyne and Tata | ||
Three pronged approach to sustain position | Ceramics – Net profit booked of approx Rs. | ||
as India’s number 1 private power company | 221 Crs. Broadband Business Transferred: | ||
by creating a portfolio of initiatives. 1. | Transferred Broadband business to a new | ||
3 | KEY MESSAGES. Huge opportunity in an | Corporate Entity. Funds Raised: 1. | |
evolving sector Positioned to be a front | Domestic Debentures: Rs. 600 Crs. at YTM | ||
runner Tata heritage, established skills | of 7.10 for 10 years 2. FCCB: 200 Million | ||
in generation, transmission and | at YTM of 3.88%. 23. | ||
distribution Strategy under uncertainty | 25 | DISTRIBUTION: CREATED A SUCCESS STORY | |
Three pronged approach to sustain position | AT NDPL – THE ONLY SUCCESSFUL | ||
as India’s number 1 private power company | PRIVATISATION IN DISTRIBUTION. Reduced | ||
by creating a portfolio of initiatives. 2. | from 53% to 35.5% as of Feb 05. i.e. an | ||
4 | INDIAN POWER SECTOR IS FUNDAMENTALLY | effective reduction of 18% in less than | |
ATTRACTIVE. Peak supply shortage of 11.7% | three years. Over 25% capacity added | ||
(~13,000 MW) (Western Region: 22.4%, | Package substitution Fully remote operated | ||
Gujarat: 25.4%, MP: 18.5%, Maharashtra: | grid stations High voltage distribution | ||
16.5%) Average supply shortage of 7.3% | system. US$ 142 million (Rs.640 crore) | ||
(Highest in Western Region of 11.3%). | invested to improve reliability Average | ||
Demand of 212,000 MW (by 2012) vs, Current | interruptions per annum reduced by 67%. | ||
capacity of 112,000 MW Demand drivers Per | Electronic metering Online account | ||
capita power consumption is 50% of China | management 24 hour call center 100,000 | ||
(475 kWh per annum vs. 1,020 kWh per annum | legacy pending complaints resolved. NDPL | ||
for China) Industrial growth. High | meets 27% of energy of New Delhi’s but as | ||
AT&C losses estimated at 43-53% US$ | per data of SLDC, NDPL accounts for less | ||
4.5 billion (Rs.20,700 crore) loss Low | than 2% of the breakdowns in Delhi in | ||
realised tariff (70%). Huge energy | terms of million units (Mus). 24. | ||
deficit. > US$170 billion (Rs.8 lakh | 26 | NDPL - The Victory Curve (trend of | |
crore) of investment required over next | AT&C loss) NDPL has made an effective | ||
decade. Source: Ministry of Power | reduction of 18% since the time of | ||
presentation – May 2004, SEB report 2004, | takeover. Regulatory Target of 2006-07: | ||
Powerline research. 3. | 31.1%, well within reach in 2005-06 itself | ||
5 | VISION 2012 – “POWER FOR ALL BY 2012”. | !!!! 25. | |
Increase generation capacity from 112,000 | 27 | NDPL – Supply Reliability. 26. | |
MW to 212,000 MW Increase private sector | 28 | NDPL – Transforming Power Distribution | |
share from 11% to 16.5% Increase | Operational Parameters. 27. | ||
inter-regional transmission capacity to | 29 | NDPL – Transforming Power Distribution | |
30,000 MW (~ 9000 MW currently) Reduce | Commercial Parameters. 28. | ||
AT&C losses to 13% (43-53% currently) | 30 | NDPL – Capital Expenditure. 29. | |
Increase recovery of power cost through | 31 | The SUGAM Experience… 50 years since | |
realised tariff to 100% (70% currently) | independence… No power Distribution | ||
Reduce peak energy shortage to 0 (11% | Utility thought about 100% transparency 2 | ||
currently) Reduce average energy shortage | year ago… NDPL became the First Power | ||
to 0 (7% currently). 4. | Utility in the country to provide On-line | ||
6 | COMPLEX INDUSTRY STRUCTURE WITH | Information on Consumption, Billing & | |
MULTIPLE STAKEHOLDERS. *. Power is a | Payment to 100% consumers. Now through | ||
concurrent subject. Multiple stakeholders | Website 100% Consumers can:•. View Bill | ||
with different functions. Sets the vision | View Consumption Graph Print Duplicate | ||
(Vision 2012) Frames laws (Electricity | Bill Make payment. NDPL - Transparency | ||
Act, 2003) Frames taxation policies Sets | with Consumers… 30. | ||
investment guidelines (FI sectoral limits | 32 | NDPL - Enhancing Consumer Convenience. | |
etc) New National Electricity Policy New | Fully networked consumer care centers | ||
National Tariff Policy (Draft). Owns and | launched. Consumer Care and Communication. | ||
controls State Electricity Boards | July 2002: 20 options for payment of Bills | ||
Constitutes state regulatory body | April 2005: 1134 locations for payment of | ||
Determines extent of subsidies. | Bills. 31. | ||
Significant presence across the system | 33 | NDPL – Excellence Recognized. 32. | |
National Thermal Power Corporation Power | 34 | KEY MESSAGES. Huge opportunity in an | |
Grid Corporation of India National Hydro | evolving sector Positioned to be a front | ||
Power Corporation. Accounts for 11% of | runner Tata heritage, established skills | ||
generation Present in distribution (e.g., | in generation, transmission and | ||
Mumbai, Delhi, Kolkata, Orissa parts of | distribution Strategy under uncertainty | ||
Gujarat) Two large players – TPC and REL, | Three pronged approach to sustain position | ||
several small players - IPPs (e.g., GMR, | as India’s number 1 private power company | ||
Torrent ) and Distcoms (e.g., AESC, CESC). | by creating a portfolio of initiatives. | ||
SEB’s (30). Central public utilities. 5. | 33. | ||
7 | POLICY MAKERS ARE MOVING IN THE RIGHT | 35 | SIGNIFICANT EFFORTS BEING MADE TO |
DIRECTION. Clearly stated vision – ‘Power | ACHIEVE COST COMPETITIVE OPERATIONS. | ||
for all by 2012’, but no service standards | Organisational transformation. Regulatory | ||
indicated Electricity Act, 2003 to promote | Management. Tata Business Excellence | ||
competition and rationalise tariff | Model. Defend Current Business. Growth. | ||
Generation delicensed Open access of | 34. | ||
T&D networks Regulatory framework | 36 | Strategy & Main Drivers. The | |
established US$ 1026 million (Rs.4514 | Growth drivers are: Seeking increase in | ||
crore) released under ‘Accelerated Power | capacity through New projects, Domestic | ||
Development Reforms Programme’. Regulatory | & International acquisition and | ||
setup in place in most states Ten states | Expansion Seeking backward integration by | ||
have unbundled State Electricity Boards | acquiring Captive Coal Berths Growth in | ||
Availability based tariff regime | Other Businesses The drivers to Defend | ||
implemented Distribution privatised in | Current Business are: Thru’ 3SCR Other | ||
Orissa and Delhi. Focus on rationalisation | initiatives The Organizational | ||
of tariff structure New National | Transformation drivers are: HR Initiatives | ||
Electricity Policy New National Tariff | TBEM Risk Management. 35. | ||
Policy. 6. | 37 | THREE PRONGED APPROACH TO SUSTAIN | |
8 | NEW ELECTRICITY POLICY. GoI approved | POSITION AS INDIA’S #1 PRIVATE POWER | |
the National Electricity Policy (NEP) | COMPANY. Flexible fuel strategy as not | ||
under section 3 of EA 03 in February 2005. | locked into a single fuel: a multi-fuel | ||
Aims and Objectives: The National | strategy to deliver lowest cost power in | ||
Electricity Policy aims at achieving the | key markets Invest in a portfolio of | ||
following objectives: Access to | assets – lock in strategic | ||
Electricity – Available for all households | markets/sources, create options in other | ||
in next five years. Availability of Power | markets. Expanding portfolio of customers | ||
– Demand to be fully met by 2012. Energy | (bulk, residential) Partner with select | ||
and peaking shortages to be overcome and | state governments. Multiple capabilities | ||
adequate spinning reserve to be available. | to grow at rapid pace Operational | ||
Supply of reliable and Quality Power of | excellence Distribution skills Regulatory | ||
specified standards in an efficient manner | management Business development and | ||
at reasonable rates. Per capita | project execution skills. 36. | ||
availability of electricity to be | 38 | THREE PRONGED APPROACH TO SUSTAIN | |
increased to over 1000 unit by 2012. | POSITION AS INDIA’S #1 PRIVATE POWER | ||
Minimum lifeline consumption of 1 unit / | COMPANY. Expanding portfolio of customers | ||
household by the year 2012 Financial | (bulk, residential) Partner with select | ||
Turnaround and Commercial Viabilty of | state governments. Flexible fuel strategy | ||
Electricity Sector. Protection of | as not locked into a single fuel: a | ||
consumers’ interest. 7. | multi-fuel strategy to deliver lowest cost | ||
9 | NEW ELECTRICITY POLICY. Time schedules | power in key markets Invest in a portfolio | |
for different activities fixed under NEP, | of assets – lock in strategic | ||
are summarised below: National Electricity | markets/sources, create options in other | ||
Plan to be finalised not later than | markets. Multiple capabilities to grow at | ||
September 2005. Grid code to be notified | rapid pace Operational excellence | ||
by SERCs not later than September 2005. | Distribution skills Regulatory management | ||
Energy accounting and declaration of its | Business development and project execution | ||
results to be made mandatory not later | skills. 37. | ||
than March 2007. CEA to develop meter | 39 | A CHANGING PORTFOLIO OF CUSTOMERS OVER | |
regulations within 3 months SERCs to | TIME. Attractiveness of customer base. | ||
introduce ABT regime at State level within | Timing. Tied wholesale to state | ||
1 year Enabling regulations for inter and | distributors (SEBs). Large, but mix of | ||
intra State trading and also regulations | loads Many SEBs unviable. Immediate. | ||
on power exchange to be notified by | Wholesale/trading. Rapid growth in traded | ||
regulators within 6 months GoI to provide | power. Immediate. More profitable, more | ||
incentive based assistance to states to | sticky, less risky. Direct to large | ||
reduce T & D losses Policy to provide | customers enabled by open access and | ||
for adequate support to economically | captive power policy. High industry growth | ||
backward consumers. SERCs to designate all | (4-6%) Open access mandated for 1 MW+. 3-5 | ||
such consumers to encourage consumption of | years. Own distribution operations | ||
say 30 Units per month. Tariffs for such | acquired or franchised. Sticky customer | ||
consumers to be at least 50% of the | base Private participation models | ||
average (overall) cost of supply. 8. | emerging. ? 38. | ||
10 | NEW TARIFF POLICY - Objectives. | 40 | THREE PRONGED APPROACH TO SUSTAIN |
Performance based cost of service | POSITION AS INDIA’S #1 PRIVATE POWER | ||
regulation for tariff determination to | COMPANY. Multiple capabilities to grow at | ||
continue for some time, on basis of the | rapid pace Operational excellence | ||
guidelines, which are as below: Return on | Distribution skills Regulatory management | ||
Investment – notified by CERC to be | Business development and project execution | ||
adopted by SERCs Equity norms – 70:30 Debt | skills. Flexible fuel strategy as not | ||
– Equity in excess to be treated as loans | locked into a single fuel: a multi-fuel | ||
advanced. For equity below norms – actual | strategy to deliver lowest cost power in | ||
equity to be considered for tariff | key markets Invest in a portfolio of | ||
calculations. Depreciation – CERC to | assets – lock in strategic | ||
notify rates of depreciation Cost of Debt | markets/sources, create options in other | ||
– Lender agreement to have provision for | markets. Expanding portfolio of customers | ||
re-fixation of interest rate every 3 | (bulk, residential) Partner with select | ||
years. Forex Risk – cost of hedging to be | state governments. 39. | ||
allowed for debts in foreign currency | 41 | A pithead based plant is inherently | |
Multi Year Tariff – MYT framework to be | less susceptible to adverse outcomes for | ||
adopted for Tariff form April 2006.. 5 | serving all states in most cases. | ||
year control period to be followed – | Loadcenter CCGTs only make sense | ||
initial control period could be 3 years | (especially in the Northern Region states) | ||
Duties and Taxes – Present level of duties | if gas prices are in the region of ~ U. S. | ||
to be revised to make them reasonable. 9. | $ 3.00 per MMBTU, which, in our opinion, | ||
11 | HOWEVER, THE SECTOR IS EVOLVING WITH | is highly unlikely. In the assumed base | |
SEVERAL CRITICAL ISSUES STILL TO BE | case scenario, when gas prices remain the | ||
RESOLVED. How to make the sector | U. S. 5 per MMBTU range, imported coal | ||
attractive for new players? Implementation | based load centre plants are a third | ||
of open access: Regulatory norms on | option after pit-head coal. Own Critical | ||
subsidy Distribution deregulation: | Primary Fuel. 40. | ||
Schedule? Timeline on disinvestment? | 42 | As competition increases the power | |
Derisking investment: Payment guarantees? | industry is likely to see “Commodity type” | ||
Other options? Policy regarding cross | pricing. TPC’s plants will, therefore, | ||
subsidy, increasing subsidy, theft | have to generate and deliver power at | ||
control? Continued regulatory freedom? | competitive tariffs. Only then our plants | ||
Maturing regulatory learning curve? 10. | be base loaded to at least 80% PLF Plants | ||
12 | KEY MESSAGES. Huge opportunity in an | will have to deliver power in the | |
evolving sector Positioned to be a front | identified state markets at tariffs of | ||
runner Tata heritage, established skills | about Rs. 2 per kWh (at the States’ | ||
in generation, transmission and | TRANSCO bus). Alternatively, this | ||
distribution Strategy under uncertainty | delivered tariff could be within the first | ||
Three pronged approach to sustain position | quartile of the new capacity being added | ||
as India’s number 1 private power company | to serve the identified state market. Low | ||
by creating a portfolio of initiatives. | delivered tariff base load generation | ||
11. | capacity. 41. | ||
13 | TPC IS PART OF THE ‘TATA’ GROUP, ONE | 43 | The reason form this tariff level are |
OF THE LARGEST BUSINESS HOUSES IN INDIA. | three fold Competitors such as Reliance, | ||
India’s first Hydro power project (1910) | NTPC and Sterlite are setting up plants | ||
Integrated iron and steel works (1907) | that can deliver power at these costs. | ||
Chain of luxury hotels (1902) Indigenous | Generation costs of existing depreciated | ||
passenger car (1998) World’s largest | SEB / NTPC plants are already below these | ||
integrated tea operations Asia’s largest | levels. It is possible for TPC to meet | ||
software exporter. Over 90 operating | these cost targets, Low delivered tariff | ||
companies with market cap. of US$32 | base load generation capacity (Contd….). | ||
billion (Rs.139861, crore) Group’s | 42. | ||
turnover equivalent to 2.6% of India’s GDP | 44 | Most of TPC’s low cost generation | |
(2004 revenues: US$14.3 billion, Rs.65,424 | facilities will be located in the coal | ||
crore) Over 2 million shareholders. | rich Eastern states of Orissa and | ||
Medical assistances to villages Drought | Jharkhand. Inter-regional transmission | ||
relief Afforestation Emission control. | links from the East to the North and the | ||
Pioneer in industrial development. 12. | West currently have no spare capacity. | ||
14 | #1 IN MARKET CAPITALISATION. Market | Critical for TPC to connect its generation | |
capitalisation (as on March 31, 2005). US$ | facilities through dedicated | ||
billion. Tata group. ONGC. Reliance group. | inter-regional transmission lines up to | ||
IOC. Infosys. Wipro. Bharati. SBI. AV | suitable PGCIL points in the Western and | ||
Birla Group. ITC. HLL. Ranbaxy. 13. | Northern Regions. This will partially | ||
15 | THE TATA GROUP: AT THE FOREFRONT OF | reduce our dependence on inefficient state | |
INDIAN ECONOMIC GROWTH. 1904. 2004. | – owned grids and reduce transmission | ||
Textiles, Hospitality, Steel & Power. | costs of TPC power. Evacuation of power | ||
7 business sectors. Tata & Sons | further from these points up to the | ||
Central India Mills Svadeshi Mills | markets of TPC’s choice will have to be | ||
Ahmedabad Advance Mills Indian Hotels. | studied further by PGCIL This will be | ||
Tata Sons Tata Industries 80+ operating | subject to the pooled tariff principle | ||
companies. US$ 26 million (Rs.122 crore). | currently being adopted. Selective | ||
US$ 14.3 billion (Rs.65,424 crore). ~ | presence in Transmission. 43. | ||
5,000. 220,219. J N Tata Endowment. | 45 | A mture and economically viable | |
Trusts, TIFR, TISS, Tata Memorial. Without | wholesale market is absent in India today | ||
compromising values! 14. | Sale of large quantities of power to SEBs | ||
16 | TPC: INDIA’S #1 PRIVATE POWER PLAYER, | is fraught with collection and price | |
PRESENT ACROSS THE BUSINESS SYSTEM. | risks. Customer ownership is essential to | ||
National Thermal Power Corporation (21,249 | control cash receipts. Owning distribution | ||
MW) National Hydro Power Corporation | will give TPC an additional long-term | ||
(2,475 MW) TPC (2,300 MW) Reliance Energy | competitive advantage when generation | ||
Limited (941 MW). Power Grid Corporation | markets commoditize. Globally several | ||
of India (41,000 Ckms) TPC (2,200 Ckms). | successful power companies are integrated | ||
State Electricity Boards Reliance Energy | players who successfully differentiate | ||
Limited (5 million consumers) Calcutta | themselves in the front-end with | ||
Electricity Supply company (2 million | customers. RWE in Germany, Endesa in Spain | ||
consumers) TPC (1 million consumers) | and Enel in Italy International experience | ||
Ahmedabad Electricity supply company (1 | has, in fact, proved that standalone | ||
million consumers). Project management and | distribution is also a viable option. | ||
consulting. Tata Projects TCE. 15. | Forward Integration into Distribution. 44. | ||
17 | TATA POWER: A COMPANY WITH MANY | 46 | Tariff Reduction Through Operational |
FIRSTS. 16. Tala transmission line (1,300 | Improvements (3SCR) Tariff Reduction | ||
Kms). Successful Delhi distribution. First | Through Reconfiguration of Units and | ||
Pumped Storage Unit in India. First to | Changes in the Fuel Mix at Trombay | ||
introduce SCADA and Fibre Optic ground | Securing Customers Through Power Purchase | ||
wire communication. First Flue Gas | Agreements Proactive Regulatory Management | ||
De-Sulphurisation plant. First to | to Project Profits and Distribution Assets | ||
commission GIS mechanism. First 500 MW | Ensure Competitiveness Though a Level | ||
thermal unit in India. First Hydro | Playing Field on Standby Charges. | ||
Electric power plant in India. | Defending the Mumbai License Area Business | ||
18 | GENERATION: CREATING EXCELLENCE IN | through five major initiatives. 45. | |
MUMBAI. Unique islanding system ensures | 47 | Growth Drivers – Prospecting. Few | |
uninterrupted power to Mumbai during grid | projects where the Company is actively | ||
disturbance Plant availability of 94.52% | considering growth and expansion: | ||
(thermal) and 92.72 (Hydro) State of the | Greenfield - Within India 1000 MW Pithead | ||
art distributed control system. | Thermal Power Project - Maithon (JV with | ||
Reliability. Lowest T&D losses in | DVC) 1000 MW Coastal Thermal Power Plant | ||
India of 2.4%. T&D. 5% reduction | in Maharashtra - Vile 1000 MW Generation | ||
achieved in FY 2004 vs. FY 2003. Tariffs. | Project for North India (incld. Delhi) | ||
Among the lowest SO2 emissions in the | Captive Coal Blocks Of the 10 blocks | ||
world Latest technology to reduce | applied for we expect allotment of 2-3 | ||
emissions (e.g., Fly Ash Aggregator, Flue | blocks [Jharkhand/ Chattisgarh/ AP] | ||
Gas De-sulphurisation etc.). Emission | Distribution Parallel distribution in | ||
control. 17. | Adityapur Also studying various states for | ||
19 | SO2 EMISSIONS AT TROMBAY ARE AMONG THE | Distribution circles Transmission Western | |
LOWEST IN THE WORLD. SO2 emissions. Metric | Region strengthening and Maithon | ||
tonnes per day. IFC. Denmark. USA. Canada. | Transmission Line thru Joint Venture | ||
TPC, Trombay. 18. | Greenfield - Outside India 1000 MW Gas/ | ||
20 | TPC’s PERFORMANCE IS REFLECTED IN | Coal based Project in Bangladesh 500 -1000 | |
STRONG FINANCIAL RESULTS . . . Profits. | MW Power Plant in South Africa 450 MW | ||
US$ million. EBITDA CAGR of 6.5%. 2005. | Project in Iran. After Due Diligence, | ||
2001. 2002. 2003. 2004. Operating margins. | separate approval would be taken before | ||
Per cent. 2005. 2001. 2002. 2003. 2004. | investing money in the prospective | ||
FY05 Exchange Rate: US$ 1- Rs. 43.98. | project. 46. | ||
EBITDA. PAT. 19. | 48 | Thank You. Statements in this | |
21 | . . . AND SUSTAINED EPS. Market | presentation describing the Company’s | |
capitalisation of US$ 1.36 billion | objectives, projections, estimates and | ||
(Rs.6,300 crore) Annualised return of over | expectations may be “forward looking | ||
100% (BSE Sensex 53%) FII holding | statements” within the meaning of | ||
increased from 7% in 2003 to 14% in 2004 | applicable securities laws and | ||
and 21% as at 31-03-2005 67% floating | regulations. Actual results could differ | ||
stock. EPS. Cents. 2001. 2002. 2003. 2004. | materially from those expressed or | ||
2005. FY05 Exchange Rate: US$ 1- Rs. | implied. Important factors that could make | ||
43.98. 20. | a difference to the Company’s operations | ||
22 | OPPORTUNITY TO IMPROVE PLANT LOAD | include, among others, general economic | |
FACTOR. Plant load factor at Trombay. | and business conditions affecting the | ||
2005. 2001. 2004. 2002. 2003. Per cent. | demand for electric power in the areas in | ||
21. | which the Company operates, changes in | ||
23 | Graph showing Share Price of TPC Vs | Government regulations, tax laws and other | |
REL Vs BSE index during FY03 To FY05. 22. | statutes and incidental factors. 47. | ||
24 | Achievements FY05. Coal Contract: | ||
Indian Private Power Player.ppt |
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